Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 1872.001603 2044.418374 2220.691178 2414.105779 2620.082455 2832.601103 3068.161187
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 1643.862001 1902.471835 2178.212819 2492.993589 2841.257099 3213.657103 3640.832027
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1487.711878 1797.510605 2138.169553 2538.271294 2992.959573 3491.280527 4076.311151
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1342.912571 1684.713072 2070.709588 2535.145122 3074.913552 3678.605702 4400.835687
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1210.857559 1572.653548 1991.307685 2506.120190 3116.476630 3811.377350 4656.436622
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1128.581740 1511.458489 1964.080268 2531.250289 3215.238848 4005.788217 4980.431983
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1044.611262 1441.106426 1919.541019 2529.861645 3277.742718 4154.310783 5248.725988
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 995.081932 1409.422944 1918.521942 2578.161538 3397.712434 4369.854852 5596.682292
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 920.727211 1340.850575 1866.934776 2559.684881 3432.660274 4480.882573 5818.146738
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 887.452186 1323.168868 1877.555468 2617.469798 3560.862397 4705.023522 6177.634476
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 839.728909 1283.106372 1856.644483 2632.773635 3634.212505 4861.121596 6454.326919
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 790.961844 1238.602638 1827.248872 2634.739020 3688.852129 4993.032149 6701.154697
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 710.413680 1146.619119 1731.883351 2548.085970 3628.588489 4981.155217 6770.735211
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 697.327923 1148.998432 1763.347587 2629.671288 3787.286724 5247.669488 7192.881837
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 673.293518 1134.019988 1769.797834 2676.830322 3900.691520 5457.105966 7544.596434
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 634.155041 1094.657973 1740.412048 2673.574967 3946.182739 5578.816624 7784.982047
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 589.323941 1044.224810 1693.050132 2643.349818 3953.777541 5650.216407 7960.319960
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 565.098811 1023.623956 1686.994160 2669.519273 4036.837600 5820.119078 8263.796562
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 534.346154 991.181686 1662.258957 2668.073261 4081.383534 5939.075299 8501.506264
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 520.315118 984.200629 1674.186568 2718.364068 4197.061819 6152.911182 8864.962156
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 488.094051 946.333667 1638.687598 2699.126882 4215.432962 6236.578144 9057.336253
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 478.884673 945.317387 1658.091499 2759.285946 4344.776018 6469.782700 9449.101900
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 458.855220 925.310764 1647.735125 2775.216420 4411.687485 6619.073838 9730.348675